Latest Publications
Spreading fallout: The collapse of the ARCSS and new conflict along the Equatorias-DRC border
Issue Brief 28, May 2017
Remote-control breakdown: Sudanese paramilitary forces and pro-government militias
Issue Brief 27, April 2017
Policing in South Sudan: Transformation Challenges and Priorities
Issue Brief 26, March 2017
A State of Disunity: Conflict Dynamics in Unity State, 2013-15
Working Paper 42, December 2016
Legitimacy, Exclusion, and Power: Taban Deng Gai and the future of the South Sudan peace process
Issue Brief 25, December 2016
Broken Promises: The arms embargo on Darfur since 2012
Issue Brief 24, July 2016
(in Arabic)
Popular Struggles and Elite Co-optation: The Nuer White Army in South Sudan's Civil War
Working Paper 41, July 2016
(in Arabic)
Fields of Control: Oil and (In)secutity in Sudan and South Sudan
Working Paper 40, November 2015
(in Arabic)
A Fractious Rebellion: Inside the SPLM-IO
Working Paper 39, September 2015
(in Arabic)
Two Fronts, One War: Evolution of the Two Areas Conflict, 2014–15
Working Paper 38, August 2015
(in Arabic)
Project Summary
The Human Security Baseline Assessment (HSBA) for Sudan and South Sudan is a multi-year research project administered by the Small Arms Survey, a global centre of excellence located at the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies. It has been developed in cooperation with the Canadian government, UNMIS, UNDP, and NGO partners. Through the active generation and dissemination of timely empirical research, the project supports violence reduction initiatives, including disarmament, demobilization and reintegration programmes, incentive schemes for civilian arms collections and security sector reform and arms control interventions across Sudan. The HSBA also offers policy-relevant guidance on redressing insecurity. The objectives of the project are the following:
- to investigate international, regional, and domestic transfers of arms;
- to assess domestic small arms stockpiles and inventories;
- to map and assess origins, motivations, and distribution of armed groups;
- to measure the scale and distribution of mortality, morbidity, and victimization; and
- to examine local security arrangements and demand for weapons.
The project publishes its findings regularly in three separate formats, Issue Briefs, Working Papers, and Facts & Figures reports, as well as occasional workshop reports, op-eds and practitioner articles. Publications are available in English, Arabic and French (in the case of research on the Central African Republic and Chad). The project has also produced a Synthesis Report, Small Arms and Armed Violence in Sudan and South Sudan: An Assessment of Empirical Research Undertaken since 2005, which provides an overview of the HSBA's research approach and findings in the areas of arms proliferation, armed groups, armed violence, and security provision.