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Latest Publications

A State of Disunity: Conflict Dynamics in Unity State, 2013-15
Working Paper 42,
December 2016

Legitimacy, Exclusion, and Power: Taban Deng Gai and the future of the South Sudan peace process
Issue Brief 25, December 2016

Broken Promises: The arms embargo on Darfur since 2012
Issue Brief 24, July 2016

Popular Struggles and Elite Co-optation: The Nuer White Army in South Sudan's Civil War
Working Paper 41, July 2016

Fields of Control: Oil and (In)secutity in Sudan and South Sudan
Working Paper 40, November 2015
(in Arabic)

A Fractious Rebellion: Inside the SPLM-IO
Working Paper 39, September 2015
(in Arabic)

Two Fronts, One War: Evolution of the Two Areas Conflict, 2014–15
Working Paper 38, August 2015
(in Arabic)

Under Attack and Above Scrutiny? Arms and Ammunition Diversion from Peacekeepers in Sudan and South Sudan, 2002-14
Working Paper 37, July 2015
(in Arabic)

Development Deferred: Eastern Sudan after the ESPA
Working Paper 36, May 2015
(in Arabic)

Real but Fragile: The Greater Pibor Administrative Area
Working Paper 35, March 2015
(in Arabic)

Contested Borders: Continuing Tensions over the Sudan-South Sudan Border
Working Paper 34, November 2014
(in Arabic)

The Sudan Revolutionary Front: Its Formation and Development
Working Paper 33, October 2014
(in Arabic)

Protective Measures: Local Security Arrangements in Greater Upper Nile
Issue Brief 23, July 2014
(in Arabic)

Following the Thread: Arms and Ammunition Tracing in Sudan and South Sudan
Working Paper 32, May 2014
(in Arabic)

At an Impasse: The Conflict in Blue Nile
Working Paper 31, December 2013
(in Arabic)

Pendulum swings: The rise and fall of insurgent militias in South Sudan
Issue Brief 22, November 2013
(in Arabic)

Dividing Lines: Grazing and Conflict along the Sudan-South Sudan Border
Working Paper 30, July 2013
(in Arabic)

New War, Old Enemies: Conflict Dynamics in South Kordofan
Working Paper 29, April 2013
(in Arabic)

My neighbour, my enemy: Inter-tribal violence in Jonglei,
Issue Brief 21, October 2012
(in Arabic)

Business as usual: Arms flows to Darfur 2009-12,
Issue Brief 20, September 2012
(in Arabic)

Forgotten Darfur: Old Tactics and New Players,
Working Paper 28, July 2012
(in Arabic)

Work in Progress: Security Force Development in South Sudan through February 2012,
Working Paper 27, June 2012
(in Arabic)

Reaching for the Gun: Arms Flows and Holdings in South Sudan,
Issue Brief 19, April 2012
(in Arabic)

Project Summary

The Human Security Baseline Assessment (HSBA) for Sudan and South Sudan is a multi-year research project administered by the Small Arms Survey, a global centre of excellence located at the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies. It has been developed in cooperation with the Canadian government, UNMIS, UNDP, and NGO partners. Through the active generation and dissemination of timely empirical research, the project supports violence reduction initiatives, including disarmament, demobilization and reintegration programmes, incentive schemes for civilian arms collections and security sector reform and arms control interventions across Sudan. The HSBA also offers policy-relevant guidance on redressing insecurity. The objectives of the project are the following:

  • to investigate international, regional, and domestic transfers of arms;
  • to assess domestic small arms stockpiles and inventories;
  • to map and assess origins, motivations, and distribution of armed groups;
  • to measure the scale and distribution of mortality, morbidity, and victimization; and
  • to examine local security arrangements and demand for weapons.

The project publishes its findings regularly in three separate formats, Issue Briefs, Working Papers, and Facts & Figures reports, as well as occasional workshop reports, op-eds and practitioner articles. Publications are available in English, Arabic and French (in the case of research on the Central African Republic and Chad).